continuous distributions
Gaussian (Normal) Distribution
You should know: continuous probability distributions, variance and standard deviation
Overview
The Gaussian or normal distribution N(mu, sigma^2) is the most important continuous probability distribution in statistics and probability theory. It arises naturally as the limit of sums of independent random variables (Central Limit Theorem), describes measurement errors, and underpins much of statistical inference. Its bell-shaped density is symmetric about the mean and determined entirely by two parameters: mean mu and variance sigma^2.
Intuition
The bell curve shape emerges whenever a quantity is the sum of many small independent random influences -- measurement error, height, test scores. Each influence pushes the outcome slightly up or down; their sum clusters tightly near the mean with rapidly decaying probability in the tails. The standard normal Z ~ N(0,1) is the universal 'unit' normal from which all others come by scaling and shifting.
Formal Definition
A random variable X has the Gaussian distribution N(mu, sigma^2) if its probability density function is:
Notation
| Notation | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Normal distribution with mean mu and variance sigma^2 | |
| Standard normal CDF | |
| Standard normal density | |
| Standardization: transforms X to standard normal |
Theorems
Worked Examples
- 1
Standardize: sigma = 15. Z1 = (85-100)/15 = -1, Z2 = (115-100)/15 = 1.
- 2
Use the 68-95-99.7 rule: P(-1 < Z < 1) = 0.6827.
✓ Answer
P(85 < X < 115) = 0.6827 (approximately 68.3%).
Practice Problems
SAT scores follow N(1060, 195^2). What percentage of students score above 1250?
Show that the moment generating function of N(0,1) is M(t) = e^{t^2/2}.
Common Mistakes
Assuming that all continuous distributions are approximately normal
The CLT applies to sums/averages of many i.i.d. variables. Individual heavy-tailed distributions (Cauchy, Pareto) may not satisfy the CLT's conditions and their sums do not converge to Gaussian.
Confusing the normal distribution with the uniform or symmetric distribution
Symmetry alone does not make a distribution normal. The normal has sub-Gaussian tails decaying as exp(-x^2/2); a uniform distribution has hard cutoffs.
Quiz
Historical Background
De Moivre approximated the binomial distribution with a normal curve in 1733 while computing odds in games of chance. Gauss independently derived the distribution in 1809 while modeling astronomical measurement errors, arguing it was the unique distribution making the sample mean the maximum likelihood estimator. Laplace proved the CLT (1810), explaining why the Gaussian appears so universally. The term 'normal' was introduced by Galton in the 1880s.
- 1733
De Moivre approximates binomial with normal curve
Abraham de Moivre
- 1809
Gauss derives the distribution from least-squares theory
Carl Friedrich Gauss
- 1810
Laplace proves the Central Limit Theorem
Pierre-Simon Laplace
Summary
- The Gaussian N(mu, sigma^2) has bell-shaped density (1/sqrt(2pi sigma^2)) exp(-(x-mu)^2/(2sigma^2)).
- 68-95-99.7 rule: 68%/95%/99.7% of mass lies within 1/2/3 standard deviations of the mean.
- Closed under linear combinations: sums of independent Gaussians are Gaussian.
- Central Limit Theorem: the Gaussian arises as the universal limit of sums of i.i.d. random variables.
- Standard normal Z ~ N(0,1) obtained by standardization Z = (X-mu)/sigma.
References
- BookCasella, G. and Berger, R. -- Statistical Inference (2nd ed., 2001), Chapter 2
Mathematics